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Accuracy Record

The accuracies are given as percentages, and are obtained by averaging the forecasts issued for the correct event.  Sample size is shown in parentheses.

All years (2010 - 2013):

Time before start of school day:
TVCSD = 7:10 AM
SBU = 8:30 AM

TVCSD
Full Closing vs. Late Opening vs. no starting delays

TVCSD
Early Closing vs. Closing After School vs. no early closings

SBU
All Events

 After Day Starts

 

55 (15)

81 (8)

 0 - 6 hours

75 (20)

69 (20)

68 (14)

 6 - 12 hours

75 (26)

71 (25)

73 (19)

 12 - 18 hours

75 (27)

71 (25)

69 (19)

 18 - 24 hours

69 (34)

69 (24)

66 (24)

 24 - 30 hours

61 (33)

69 (24)

64 (26)

 30 - 36 hours

61 (33)

69 (24)

64 (26)

 36 - 42 hours

60 (31)

63 (22)

62 (25)

 42 - 48 hours

52 (33)

58 (23)

56 (23)

 

2010 - 2012:
 

Time before start of school day:
TVCSD = 7:10 AM
SBU = 8:30 AM

TVCSD
Full Closing vs. Late Opening vs. no starting delays

TVCSD
Early Closing vs. Closing After School vs. no early closings

SBU
All Events

 After Day Starts

 

35 (5)

83 (3)

 0 - 6 hours

75 (11)

77 (10)

73 (9)

 6 - 12 hours

77 (12)

79 (11)

76 (10)

 12 - 18 hours

76 (13)

78 (11)

72 (10)

 18 - 24 hours

76 (14)

76 (12)

72 (13)

 24 - 30 hours

62 (13)

75 (12)

65 (14)

 30 - 36 hours

62 (13)

75 (12)

65 (14)

 36 - 42 hours

60 (12)

69 (11)

63 (13)

 42 - 48 hours

53 (13)

68 (11)

61 (11)